Welcome to Article #2 of my 2019 MLB preseason power rankings. In this article, though I am covering teams that are unlikely to contend, all of these teams have something to look forward to, and I will be discussing that. Click the links below for other articles in the series (I will add them as I post them):
2019 MLB Preseason Power Rankings Series:
Ranking The Teams #30-25, My Version: The Bottom of the Barrel
Ranking The Teams #24-19, My Version: Who will have to Wait till Next Year?
Ranking The Teams #18-13, My Version: Who else Misses out on Playoff Contention?
Ranking The Teams #12-7, My Version: Who has Playoff Chances?
Ranking The Teams #6-1, My Version: Super Six?
I also released my 3rd annual preseason Baseball Bits!
Let’s jump right back into the rankings:
24.
Seattle Mariners
The Case for the Mariners
There were rumors that the Mariners would finally rebuild this off-season after Jerry Dipoto’s roster retooling has failed the Mariners time and time again. But Dipoto was back at it this winter. He did make the roster a bit younger, but there were no blatant signs of a full rebuild. The Mariners did, however, trade away Robinson Cano and Edwin Diaz, two of the team’s best players. He also let Nelson Cruz walk. That will lead to some regression this season. Most teams regress after losing their best player or two. Look at what happened to the Tigers without Justin Verlander. Adding Edwin Encarnacion gives them a new centerpiece for now, but how long will he remain elite, and how long will Dipoto keep him around for?
Something to Look Forward to
The Mariners haven’t really found an identity yet this season. But by the end of the year, I think they will be known as a power-hitting team. Encarnacion and Jay Bruce add power to a lineup that already has Mitch Haniger, Dee Gordon, and other big hitters. Maybe Kyle Seager will even bounce back this year. Dipoto seems to have confidence in Seager. The rotation may struggle, but this lineup could be a nightmare at times for opposing pitchers.
Projected Finish: 71-91, 5th in AL West
23.
San Diego Padres
The Case for the Padres
The Padres are taking small steps back towards contention after a rebuild before 2017. They signed 1B Eric Hosmer before 2018 to enhance their lineup, and they enhanced it further by signing 26-year old free agent 3B Manny Machado, one of the top two free agents on the market. They also added 2B Ian Kinsler for the year as well and are targeting top remaining SPs like Dallas Keuchel. They should continue to gradually add pieces to the puzzle as their incoming prospects develop and make their way up. Top prospect Fernando Tatis Jr. will likely make his way up this year. Though the Padres won’t contend in 2019, the future is bright in San Diego, and maybe Tatis’ first full season in 2020 will spark something alongside a few more veterans.
Something to Look Forward to
I think the #1 thing to look forward to here is what’s ahead in San Diego. Padres fans might be disappointed in the team right now, but that will all change in the years to come. After attempting to rush to contention in 2016, the Padres have tried to take things slow this time around. It has made for a painful few years in San Diego, but the Padres are more likely to succeed now that they have a mix of veteran talent (Machado, Hosmer, Myers) and intriguing prospects like Tatis. The rotation is still a major issue though. That will have to be fixed before the Padres even think about contention.
Projected Finish: 71-91, 4th in NL West
22.
Texas Rangers
The Case for the Rangers
The Rangers may not be what they used to be, especially with 3B Adrian Beltre retiring. But they won’t be as bad as people think. People don’t give enough credit to the non-roster invites Texas handed out this off-season. A lot of the players they added deserved major league deals, but waited too long and missed out. This group includes OF Hunter Pence, two-way player Matt Davidson, 2B Logan Forsythe, and UT Danny Santana. They also added Asdrubal Cabrera on an MLB deal. These veterans could add to the lineup’s core of Joey Gallo, Elvis Andrus, and Nomar Mazara. The rotation has some nice veteran pieces as well, but there is no true ace – most of the starters are about equally talented. The bullpen could also be better, but this team should still avoid last place in the AL West.
Something to Look Forward to
The Rangers may not be ready for contention yet, and the future is uncertain. But their lineup could be pretty powerful considering the veterans they added this off-season like Pence and Cabrera. Andrus, Gallo, and Mazara already made for a pretty powerful trio.
Projected Finish: 73-89, 4th in AL West
21.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Case for the Rays
The Rays were on the verge of contention in 2018 despite making numerous subtractions in the 2017-18 off-season and at the 2018 Trade Deadline. They lost more of their players in 2018 free agency, and they didn’t bring in replacements. I think that their money-saving tactics will get to them in 2019. It will be hard to maintain a viable rotation even with the opener. This is especially true when you consider the fact that #3 starter Tyler Glasnow has minimal experience as a starting pitcher. The lineup lacks a true centerpiece as it has since Evan Longoria left. Playoff contention is not sustainable for the second year in a row as the Rays continue to subtract. What they are doing is starting a rebuild. The 2018 team was never supposed to contend, and I expect the same here.
Something to Look Forward to
Though I see the team taking a step back after dumping away some of their veterans, young talent has already began to populate the roster, and it could mean good things for the future of this team. Yandy Diaz is an underrated player, and Matt Duffy, Willy Adames, Austin Meadows, Joey Wendle, Glasnow, Brent Honeywell, Christian Arroyo, and others will also make a significant impact in the long run if they don’t in 2019.
Projected Finish: 75-87, 4th in AL East
20.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Case for the Blue Jays
The Blue Jays are beginning a rebuild after trading away Josh Donaldson and Curtis Granderson and releasing Troy Tulowitzki. Yet they are in the same spot as last year. This is because their next wave of prospects, headlined by future All-Star Vladimir Guerrero Jr., is on their way up. I believe that if these prospects live up to expectations, the team will not regress so much from last year. If things work out, the Jays might be a couple starting pitchers away from contention by 2020. But for now, the Blue Jays will sit around .500 as they struggle to keep up with their AL East rivals, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees.
Something to Look Forward to
The Jays could contend very soon, as they were able to get rid of declining players without suffering from the holes they left. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio, and others give me confidence in the future of the team. This year, they’ll look to replace the players the Blue Jays moved on from.
Projected Finish: 79-83, 3rd in AL East
19.
Oakland Athletics
The Case for the Athletics
The A’s are coming off a surprise playoff appearance. But though they did add SP Marco Estrada and INF Jurickson Profar to replace 2B Jed Lowrie (left in free agency) and Sean Manaea (injured), expect regression in 2019. Their miraculous playoff run will not be repeated. The rotation lacks the same depth is had in 2018 with Jharel Cotton and Manaea injured. The bullpen could make up for that, especially if the A’s use the opener again, but a playoff contender needs a good rotation and multiple power hitters in the lineup. You could argue the A’s already have the latter in Matt Chapman and Khris Davis, but the rotation is definitely a problem, and the A’s could have used another power hitter.
Something to Look Forward to
If Chapman, Matt Olson, and Davis produce like they did last year, this lineup could lead the Athletics to exceed expectations. This lineup also gives me confidence that though the Athletics don’t have much money, they are capable of crafting contending teams that are mostly homegrown.
Projected Finish: 80-82, 3rd in AL West
That’s all for this 2nd article in my MLB 2019 preseason power rankings. Stay tuned for more MLB and Red Sox coverage soon. In my next power ranking article, I’ll be looking at the teams in the middle of the pack, #18-13.