Below is my AFC Championship video preview alongside my score prediction and a transcript.
My Score Prediction:
After a big win against the Chargers, the Patriots travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on QB Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs blew out the Colts last week on their home turf, so they have plenty of momentum going in. The Chiefs did visit New England earlier in the season, where they lost 43-40. But with RB Kareem Hunt and WR Josh Gordon Both suspended and the game taking place in Kansas City, it’s hard to judge this game solely based on the first match-up.
In order for the Patriots to win this one, they’ll need to contain Mahomes’ best receivers, WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce. Mahomes is a great QB, with a top WR corps. Containing Mahomes’ receivers will limit Mahomes. They’ll also need to get off to a fast start on offense. The Chiefs have one of the best offenses in the league, so in order for the Pats to win, they’ll need to keep pace with the KC offense. That shouldn’t be too hard against a problematic Chiefs D.
The Chiefs will need to pressure QB Tom Brady up the middle. It’s hard to limit him with a good secondary because he knows how to make do with whoever’s open. But things go south when Brady is under pressure. They’ll also need to win the turnover battle. Mahomes has been interception-prone in his first year as a starter, and the Pats defense thrives against most young QBs, so Mahomes will need to be careful where he throws the ball.
There are not too many major injuries for either team to worry about. The only player ruled out by either team was Chiefs LB Dorian O’Daniel, who has not been starting this season. Expect a close shootout here, but I have the Patriots edging out a victory in overtime, 33-27, with Tom Brady throwing for 300+ yards, 3 TD and no interceptions.
Stay tuned for a recap of the game and Super Bowl coverage soon.