Welcome to my NFL Week 13 Picks. I went 12-4 last week, placing my overall record at 100-76. How will I do in this week’s slate of games? Read below and comment with your thoughts.
Lock of the Week
QB Marcus Mariota will lead the Titans offense to a huge game and a victory. TE Delanie Walker and WR Corey Davis among others will help Mariota as the Titans offense takes advantage of the Texans weakening secondary. With the help of the offensive line, the Titans RB duo will also help out the offense against the depleted Texans front seven. For the Texans, QB Tom Savage will struggle to generate offense and score TDs, especially without WR Will Fuller. Titans win after Houston’s struggles.
Upset of the Week
The Falcons depleted defense will fail to shut down the Vikings strong group of receivers. Vikings receivers Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs will help lead the Vikings offense to dominance and help lead the Vikings to victory. For the Falcons offense, QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones will lead the Atlanta offense to a strong game, but it won’t be enough against the relentless Vikings.
After a rough week last week, QB Dak Prescott will lead the Cowboys offense to a big game, even without RB Ezekiel Elliott. Both defenses will struggle after losing key players. The Redskins lost S DeAngelo Hall, and the Cowboys lost LB Sean Lee. With Lee out, the Redskins will also thrive offensively in this game. QB Kirk Cousins will lead them to dominance and keep this close. But the Cowboys will outscore them in an offensive shootout.
The Bills will struggle to establish a passing game here due to their QB problems, and the fact that WR Kelvin Benjamin is out. The Pats secondary will be able to shut down the receivers that do play, as the Pats secondary has been dominant lately. For the Patriots offense, a balanced attack will lead them to thrive against a Bills defense that has begun to struggle after a strong start to the season. Pats win as the Bills can’t find their rhythm.
QB Jay Cutler will look a bit better in his return, but he will still struggle against the dominant Broncos defense. The Dolphins defense will also do well though, shutting down the Broncos run game. But despite a hole at QB, the Broncos will still be able to generate an offensive rhythm. However, the Dolphins will win after a defensive rebound led by defensive linemen Ndamukong Suh and Cameron Wake, as well as safety Reshad Jones.
The Chiefs offense hasn’t been able to lead Kansas City to victory lately, but in this game, I think the defense will. The Chiefs D will shut down the pesky Jets offense with the addition of CB Darrelle Revis against his former team. The Jets defense will fail to shut down deep threat Tyreek Hill and star TE Travis Kelce. After the Jets D struggles and the Chiefs D dominates, the Chiefs will win on the road.
QB Matthew Stafford will lead the versatile Lions receivers to thrive against a banged-up Ravens secondary. But the Ravens will fight back as their younger players like RB Alex Collins and WR Breshad Perriman help lead their offense to dominate. In the end, the Ravens will win in a close game that results in one of the most underrated matchups of the season.
The Jaguars secondary will be dominant against the Colts receivers, and the Jags defensive front will look unstoppable as they shut down the Colts running backs. Meanwhile, the Colts defense will struggle to shut down the Jags young receivers and standout RB Leonard Fournette. The Jags will win after the young offense comes through.
QB Jameis Winston will return to rejuvenate the Bucs offense against a struggling Packers team. The Packers will continue to struggle offensively as well, failing to produce much offense against the underrated Buccaneers defense. Tampa will win after defensive dominance and an offensive bounce back.
This game won’t be too exciting, but the Bears RB duo will help bring some excitement and lead Chicago to victory. The 49ers’ QB problems will cause them to struggle, even against the Bears. The Niners lack depth at receiver, especially without WR Pierre Garcon. The Bears will win, but the game will bring some of the sloppiest defense of the season from both teams.
WR Josh Gordon will help lead the Browns offense to a slightly better game in his return, but it won’t nearly be enough against the Chargers’ electric offense. Besides, this is Gordon’s first game since 2014, so there’s a chance he gets a rude awakening. LA’s offense will just be too strong for the Browns, and Philip Rivers will toss for 400 yards and 5+ TD against the weak Browns defense. The Chargers will win despite the Browns’ efforts to push closer to victory. It will be a more exciting game than you might expect.
The Giants defense will slow down the Raiders’ versatile receivers, especially with WR Amari Cooper out. But the Giants will fail to produce offensively with Geno Smith at QB, and Smith will be knocked around a lot by the Raiders strong defensive front. The Raiders will win after Smith fails another New York team.
The Saints offense won’t be in full swing against the tough Panthers front seven, but they will still have a huge game, even without TE Coby Fleener. The Panthers will struggle to match the Saints’ success without TE Greg Olsen (foot injury) and WR Kelvin Benjamin (mid-season trade). New Orleans will win after their defense slows down the depleted Carolina offense, and the Saints offense puts up another strong game.
The Rams defense will shut down the Cardinals offense that will be without WR John Brown in this game and without RB David Johnson and QB Carson Palmer for the rest of the season. The Rams offense won’t look like themselves against the stingy Arizona secondary, but they will still manage to pull away with a victory against a troubled Arizona offense.
QB Carson Wentz will lead the Eagles to victory in a Sunday Night offensive shootout. Seahawks QB Russell Wilson will also look good during primetime and he will challenge Philly. But the Eagles will be dominant as they take advantage of the depleted Seahawks secondary and win the game. Seattle’s secondary will be without CB Richard Sherman and S Kam Chancellor in this primetime clash.
The Bengals offense will struggle in the heat of primetime, especially against Pittsburgh’s difficult front seven. On the other hand, Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers offense will look good against their divisional rivals on Monday Night. Big Ben will lead a great group of Steelers receivers to dominate, and the Steelers will win again. The return of WR JuJu Smith-Schuster will help them.
That’s all for my Week 13 Picks. Feel free to comment with your thoughts.